Mostrando entradas con la etiqueta tallblacks. Mostrar todas las entradas
Mostrando entradas con la etiqueta tallblacks. Mostrar todas las entradas

miércoles, 4 de julio de 2012

BETTING TIPS (XI): FIBA OLYMPIC QUALIFYING TOURNAMENT: DAY THREE


This is my first prematch pick of the third day of the tournament. 


I may not place any more prematch tips today but Stay Tuned to Twitter as I will deliver Live Picks in the remaining games. Remember that there´s much at stake for the teams and they will be looking for the best options in the QFs and SemiFinals...


Angola vs New Zealand. Over 148.5 (1.96) Pinnacle Stake 3
(Value Bet till 150)


Angola surprised everyone on Monday beating FYR Of Macedonia with an outstanding offensive performance in the first half, absolutely inspired beyond the arc. Mingas, Cipriano and Morais stunned the Balkan team. They moved the ball incredibly well, always finding open shots and outrebounding them.


The Tall Blacks are virtually out of the tournament so they should play more relaxed in offense and improve their numbers. Mika Vukona was almost fouled out in the first half yesterday and didn´t have any impact in the game. I think he will lead his team today and we´ll also see more game-time for Lou and Pledger in the frontcourt.


I expect quite a fast pace game with short possesions. Both teams should play without no pressure and the line is quite attractive. In addition, almost all the referees in this tournament are calling every contact so I expect many free throws to come as both sides commit many stupid fouls.  


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Angola 64-68 New Zealand -3 Units


Angola´s horrible offensive performance killed us. Shooting Percentages (17/41 41% & 4/25 16%) say all. Nothing to do with Monday´s game against FYR Of Macedonia. New Zealand took an early  and comfortable lead since the begininng and kept them till the end.



Picks 23    
Won 15   65,22%
Lost 8   34,78%
Void 0   0,00%
Stake 91,5    
Profit 40,88    
Yield 44,68%    
Av. Odd 1,928696    

domingo, 1 de julio de 2012

2012 FIBA OLYMPIC QUALIFYING TOURNAMENT: GROUPS C & D


GROUP C



RUSSIA

Russian NT is the team to beat in the tournament.  Despite their usual offensive shortcomings, they are the most solid team and shouldn´t have any problem to qualify for the London 2012 Olympics. David Blatt keeps the block of players that got the bronze medal in Lithuanian Eurobasket 2011. Vorontsevich and Bykov are sidelined but C Sasha Kaun comes back to help the team in the paint.  

AK 47 Kirilenko and Sergey Monya are the best pair of Forwards in the tournament. In the frontcourt, the power and strength of Kaun, Mozgov and Khryapa will be a key factor in every game. In PG, Shved and Fridzon will lead the team and will have to play many minutes as Khostov and Ponkrashov, aren´t in the same level.  Let´s see if the newcomers Voronov, Karasev and Grigoryev can be helpful  from the bench.

DOMINICAN REPUBLIC

Dominican Republic wants to get a ticket to London. Together with Venezuela, they should be among the underdogs of the tournament. Coached by John Calipari, they have shown last week in Puerto Rico´s Centrobasket that they are absolutely ready for this challenge.

With a fast and attractive style of play, the Dominicans have a great starting five. The electric PG Manuel Fortuna together with SG Juan Coronado will help talented NBA SF Francisco García from downtown.  Al Horford, Atlanta Hawks PF, and Jack Michael Martínez are the big names in one of the most powerful frontcourts of the tournament with Josh Asselin and Eulis Báez coming from the bench. 

If the Caribbean team increases it´s deffensive attitude, be careful with them as they have a lot of weapons to get into the semifinals.

KOREA

After winning the bronze medal in last year´s Asiabasket 2011, Korea NT arrives in Caracas thinking about the future with the big absences of experienced and talented PG Yang Dong-Geun, SG Moon Tae-Jong (aka Jarod Stevenson), F Cho Sung Min and PF Kim Joo-Sung.

In addition to all these important sidelined players, Sang Beom Lee, Korean HC, will have the serious doubt of Sek-eun Oh (the young talented C), with physical problems.  The Korean team will try to play fast, with many long range shots and being aggressive in deffense to compensate their lack of physical power. SG Lee Seung-Jun will be the only offensive reference from downtown.


GROUP D




FYR OF MACEDONIA

No longer underdogs, FYROM will play its first Official Tournament out of Europe after their big achievement last year in Lithuania Eurobasket. Few months ago, Marjan Lazovski became new Head Coach replacing Marin Dokuzovski. That won´t bring any important changes as Lazovski has been working with FYROM´s NT since 2006.

Again, Bo McCalebb will be the lighthouse of the Balkan team. One of the best PG in FIBA Basketball will lead the offense helped by Vlado Ilievski and Stojanovski´s brothers beyond the arc. In the frontcourt, one more time, the versatility of PF Pero Antic together with the big centers Gecevski and Samardziski will be the heart of the team.

They have been quite irregular in the preparatory games as Bo McCalebb arrived late due to the Italian Serie A Final Series.  However, they´ll give their best to get into the semifinals and we know that impossible means nothing to them.


NEW ZEALAND

Hard times for the Tall Blacks as SG Kirk Penney and PF Thomas Abercrombie won´t be available for this tournament. HC Vucinic will be without two of his most important players so New Zealand will struggle a lot in offense. New Zealand will fight and try not to be trashed by their rivals but they are so far away of being dangerous at all.

Lindsay Tait will be the most important player in offensive terms while Vukona and Casey Frank will add their experience and physical strength. In the paint, bic Cs, Pledger and Lou should give something better for the team as they did in previous tournaments.

ANGOLA

After being defeated by Tunisia in the last Afrobasket 2011 final, Angola NT will need a miraculous performance to qualify for London 2012 Olympics. With the scorer Armando Costa in the PG, the Angolan offensive game will mainly pend on the couple of Forwards formed by Carlos Morais and Joaquim Gomes. In the frontcourt, the experienced Eduardo Mingas should help Paulo and promising big Cs Moreira and Joaquim.

Angola NT is a limited height team, prone to disciplinary problems. However, they have always been tough customers for any opponent. Dangerous in the offensive rebounding, beware if they are inspired beyond the arc.

jueves, 28 de junio de 2012

Betting Tips (VIII) : Brazil vs Greece and New Zealand vs Nigeria



Brazil and Greece will clash tonight in Sao Carlos to determine the winner of Torneio Eletrobras. Both NTs have won comfortably their two games against two weak rivals as New Zealand and Nigeria. This game must be a valuable test for both head coaches.

Hellas NT, will start playing the Olympic Qualifying Tournament in Venezuela  on Monday. They will be fighting for one of the last three tickets to London.  The Greek squad, led by HC Zouros, has completed a perfect preparation. After beating  Lithuania and FYROM in the Baltic country they have displayed all their offensive power in Brazil trashing New Zealand and Nigeria.

The Greek block is practically the same that made a great performance at Lithuania 2011 Eurobasket, without Dimitris Diamantidis. Despite the absence of the great PG, the Greeks played as a solid team based on serious defensive commitment and exploiting the quality of experienced players as Fotsis, Zisis and Bouroussis.

Tonight, Greece will face a Brazilian NT team that still has four weeks to work hard before the Olympics. Head Coach Ruben Magnano  has started working this week with the final block that will go to London. Despite not playing yet with Leandrinho Barbosa and Tiago Splitter, they have made  very interesting offensive performances.  

Magnano´s teams are always built from deffense to offense.  The power of Anderson Varejao and Nene in the paint should be the best of Brazilian weapons to stop Bouroussis and Vougioukas. In the backcourt we´ll see a nice battle between Huertas and Zisis and youngsters Benite and Papanikolau.  

I expect a low scoring game tonight with both teams working hard on deffense and playing long possessions. Zouros  will try to hide some of his best offensive plays for OQT in Venezuela. IMO the line is too high.

Brazil vs Greece. Under 150.5 points (1.97) Pinnacle Stake 2.5
(Value Bet till -149 points)



New Zealand and Nigeria play today their last friendly game before flying to Venezuela. Both teams have struggled a lot in this Torneio Eletrobras in Brazil. 

Nigeria isn´t playing with key offensive players as Ime Udoka and Michael Umeh. Together with these major absences, Derrick Obasohan has been sidelined in this Brazilian tournament. So, only Diogu is the only reliable attacking option for Coach Ayo Bakare.

On the other hand, The Tall Blacks, are missing as well Kirk Penney and Tom Abercrombie. Without these two key ballers, New Zealand NT struggle in offense as they can´t replace them.

I think we´ll see quite a physical and ugly game with both teams battling for an important win before OQT.

New Zealand vs Nigeria. Under 154 points (1.98) Pinnacle Stake 2.5
(Value Bet till -152 points)

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Brazil 78-71 Greece (Struggling at the end with a high scoring last Q)
New Zealand 66-74 Nigeria (Quite low scoring tempo and easy pick except last Q)


+4,875 units





Picks 10    
Won 8   80,00%
Lost 2   20,00%
Void 0   0,00%
Stake 37,5    
Profit 22,3    
Yield 59,47%    
Av. Odd 1,914