BETTING TIPS (XXXVII) EUROBASKET 2013 QUALIFIERS

Bosnia & Herzegovina - Latvia. Over 165 Points (1,88) Pinnacle. Stake 2


Bosnia and Latvia will clash this afternoon in Sarajevo. Both teams, together with Georgia will fight for the two first spots of Group D for Eurobasket 2013 Qualifiers. 

Bosnia and Herzegovina handed the national team reins to veteran tactician Aleksandar (Axa) Petrovic in February. The 52-year-old Croatian coach, the older brother of the late Drazen Petrovic, replaced Sabit Hadzic at the helm. 

Named 2010-11 Eurocup Coach of the Year with Cedevita Zagreb, Axa Petrovic will try to impose his run&gun offense style with Bosnia NT. He made a big revolution in his roster not naming such experienced players as Bajramovic, Varda, Jazvin, Ikonic, Nesovic, Milosevic, Vasiljevic or Domercant.

Zack Wright (188-G-85), Josip Naletilic (195-G-89), Nihad Djedovic (196-F-90), Nemanja Mitrovic (195-G), Ante Masic (200-F-85), Dalibor Persic (193-G-85), Mirza Teletovic (206-F-85), Edin Bavcic (210-F/C-84), Elmedin Kikanovic (211-C-88), Nedzad Sinanovic (221-C-83), Jozo Brkic (211-F/C-86) and Armin Avdibegovic (188-PG-84) are the men that will represent Bosnia this summer.

Undoubtedly, Mirza Teletovic is be the go-to player, helped by Djedovic and Wright. The american CG who gained bosnian citizenship this year (recently signed by BC Spartak Saint Petersbourg), will make his debut with Bosnia NT and play a lot of minutes as PG Nemanja Gordic is sidelined. Sinanovic and Kikanovic will lead the frontcourt.


Montenegro and Latvia will play today and tomorrow a couple of friendly matches in Zlatibor. These will be the first prep games for Montenegro this summer, looking for Eurobasket 2013 qualification, starting next month. 

Latvia, on the other hand, keeps on relying on the group of talented youngsters that started working with HC Bagatskis  two years ago. The Latvian side will try to play its attractive offensive style led by their new fresh talents as both Bertans´brothers, Richards Kuksis and Janis Strelnieks. They have a lot of sharp shooters beyond the arc.

IMO the line should be around 170 points. I think we´ll watch quite an attractive game with both teams running and moving the ball quite fast.

Montenegro - Israel. Over 155,5 Points (1,93) Pinnacle. Stake 2

Montenegro will host Israel NT this evening in Podgorica. Both teams will try to cause a major upset to Serbia in Group A of Eurobasket 2013 Qualifiers. 


The Balkan team has begun a new age after last year´s failure. They headed for EuroBasket 2011 with high expectations and departed Lithuania having failed to live up to them. HC Dejan Radonjic left the team in October and was replaced by Luka Pavicevic.

Pavicevic, well-known by his great work in Alba Berlin, has bet on a fresher style on offense, trying to move the ball much better than last year. This change has been tested during last weeks in their friendly games. Coach Pavicevic has taken advantage of his new CG “addition”. Taylor Rochestie (got Montenegrin citizenship this year) has speed up the tempo and has added better shooting pct beyond the arc. 

In contrast to those interesting backcourt additions, neither Pekovic nor Vucevic are available for the team in this early stage of preparation. So it´s time for promising Bojan Dubljevic to lead Montenegro´s frontcourt together with Dragicevic and Milko Bjelica. It will also be so interesting to watch talented youngster PG Nikola Ivanovic with the NT.



The big news regarding Israel´s NT roster is that Casspi, Eliyahu and Halperin joined the team two weeks ago and all of them will be available in these Eurobasket 2013 qualifiers. Coach Arik Shivek has been playing a faster basketball this summer relying on a wide backcourt with Alex Tyus, Guy Pnini or Yogev Oyahon. I expect quite a fast and offensive style today with all their best weapons available.

IMO the line is too short as both teams are playing different styles than two years ago. The line should be over 158-159 points.
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Bosnia 87-84 Latvia & Montenegro 75-69 Israel -0.24 Units

Horrible shooting from both teams in Podgorica and Montenegro made a stunning comeback to defeat Israel in the last quarter. In Sarajevo Bosnia struggled to win Latvia in a very interesting offensive game as we expected.

Picks	97
Won	67		69,07%
Lost	28		28,87%
Void	2		2,06%
Stake	321
Profit	142,535
Yield	44,40%
Av. Odd	1,922639

BETTING TIPS (XXXVI) EUROBASKET 2013 QUALIFIERS: ICELAND - SERBIA

Welcome back mates!

Eurobasket 2013 Qualification Round starts in one hour and a half and this is my first pick for this competition:

Iceland - Serbia. Iceland +30.5 (1,90) NordicBet. Stake 2

(Value Bet till +28 Several Bookies) 

Iceland's last EuroBasket Division B campaign was in 2009. Flash forward three years and the stakes are now considerably higher for Iceland. Starting tonight, the national team is not embarking on a campaign to earn promotion, but to secure a place in the 24-team EuroBasket 2013. 

The Division A and B system is now defunct and everyone is given a fair chance of earning a ticket to the big stage. Such a great prize for Iceland NT that will have, once again, Jon Stefansson as the go-to player, helped by Pavel Ermolinskij and the youngster Haukur Palsson.

Serbia travelled to Iceland without Nenad Krstic and Zoran Erceg. Dusan Ivkovic took the following squad to Reykjavik: Miloš Teodosić, Milenko Tepić, Aleksandar Rašić, Ivan Paunić, Nemanja Bjelica, Duško Savanović, Marko Kešelj, Milan Mačvan, Dejan Musli, Nemanja Nedović, Vladimir Štimac and Vladimir Lučić.

Except Vladimir Stimac, there won´t be big Cs avalaible for Ivkovic tonight. I think that Serbia will outscore Iceland but they will rotate all players. The handicap is too high regarding the long trip to Reykjavik and the big game on saturday against Montenegro for Ivkovic´s squad. 
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Iceland 78-91 Serbia +1,8 Units

Ivkovic gave chances to all the youngsters and Serbia, quite relaxed, didn´t give their best on deffense. Iceland, led by Stefansson and Ermolinskij played really well moving the ball and finding open shots. Easy Profit !

Picks	95
Won	66		69,47%
Lost	27		28,42%
Void	2		2,11%
Stake	317
Profit	142,775
Yield	45,04%
Av. Odd	1,923011

BETTING TIPS (XXXV) LONDON 2012 OLYMPIC BASKETBALL TOURNAMENT (DAY FOUR)

These are my first tips for tomorrow´s olympic basketball games. No time to explain them. Stay Tuned to Twitter for more!

Russia - Spain. Spain -5 (1,917) Pinnacle. Stake 3

Player Performances:

Jonas Valanciunas. Total Points Scored (Including OT): Over 6,5 points (1,85) Unibet. Stake 2

Al-Farouq Aminu. Total Points Scored (Including OT): Over 10 points (1,85) Unibet. Stake 2

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-5 Units. Sorry about the delay. I couldn´t update the results as my first baby was born on Saturday. I am back, stronger and more motivated and I will try to deliver more picks for these Olympics. Stay Tuned!

Picks	94
Won	65		69,15%
Lost	27		28,72%
Void	2		2,13%
Stake	315
Profit	140,975
Yield	44,75%
Av. Odd	1,923255

BETTING TIPS (XXXIII) LONDON 2012 OLYMPIC BASKETBALL TOURNAMENT (DAY THREE)

These are my tips for tomorrow´s basketball games. I may add some extra live picks tomorrow. Stay Tuned!

Brazil - Russia. Brazil +7 (1,917) Pinnacle. Stake 3

Russia NT have probably become one of the ´trendiest´ teams of the tournament after their first two convincing victories. Of course they have shown all their power mostly based on all-CSKA´s (2011-12) members starting five: Shved (absolutely inspired since signing with T´Wolves), Ponkrashov, Kirilenko, Khryapa and Kaun. A big, physical team with powerful centers as Kaun and Mozgov (coming from the bench) and the tenacious and unrelenting play of Kirilenko-Khryapa couple in the SF/PF positions.

Which teams can cope with all that physical strength? Undoubtedly, Brazil is one of them. They will accept this challenge today and play a tough battle in the paint with Nené, Splitter and Varejao. It will be such an interesting clash against russian centers. For sure, Magnano´s squad will give their best today and they can beat Russia if their backcourt weapons (Huertas, Barbosa, García and Machado) are inspired  beyond the arc.

IMO this spread is quite valuable. I think we´ll see a closer game than expected. We haven´t seen yet the classical offensive russian blackouts and Brazil can stop them. 

Player Performance:


David Andersen. Total Points Scored (Including OT): Over 11 (1,85) Unibet. Stake 3

This line was clearly created on David Andersen´s poor performance against Spain. It´s true that the boomer really struggled from the field (2/11) and committed quite early and stupid fouls on Gasol´s brothers. After that he didn´t have any impact at all in the game and coach Brett Anderson decided to give him a rest for today´s big game against China. 

I think he will step up today and lead his team. IMO the line is too short and Andersen will score 15 points or more. He should overpower either Yi or Wang on offense.
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Russia 75-74 Brazil & David Andersen scored 17 points (15 @ HT) +5,301 Units


What a thriller was the game between Russia and Brazil. Russia won at the buzzer with a stunning three-pointer from Vitaly Fridzon. The game was such a physical battle as expected.


David Andersen exploded on the first half scoring fifteen points leading boomers´offense. 

Picks	90
Won	64		71,11%
Lost	25		27,78%
Void	1		1,11%
Stake	303
Profit	141,825
Yield	46,81%
Av. Odd	1,925989

BETTING TIPS (XXXII): LONDON 2012 OLYMPIC BASKETBALL TOURNAMENT (DAY TWO)

These are my picks for tomorrow. Not enough time to explain them properly. Basically, I expect much better deffensive performances and closer games. Stay Tuned for more picks on Twitter !

China - Russia. Under 155 points (1,943) Pinnacle. Stake 2


Australia - Spain. Under 155 points (1,926) Pinnacle. Stake 2


Great Britain - Brazil. Under 157,5 points (1,943) Pinnacle. Stake 2
Great Britain Under 73,5 points (1,90) Unibet. Stake 2


Argentina - France. France +5,5 (1,90) Pinnacle. Stake 2 

(LIVE BETTING PICKS) Lithuania - Nigeria. Nigeria +16,5 (1,90) Bet365 Stake 3 

(Bet placed at the end of the 3rdQ SCORE 56-40)

(LIVE BETTING PICKS) Lithuania - Nigeria. Over 135,5 points (1,90) Bet365 Stake 3 

(Bet placed at the end of the 3rdQ SCORE 56-40)

(LIVE BETTING PICKS) Lithuania - Nigeria. Nigeria +22,5 (1,90) Bet365 Stake 5 

(Bet placed with 6:24 remaining in the 4thQ SCORE 62-41 & TimeOut)

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+7,724 Units Won Today !

China 54-73 Russia

Russia worked really hard on deffensive pressure and broke the game since the first quarter. Kirilenko was impressive again on both sides stopping China´s offense.

Australia 70-82 Spain

The boomers really struggled beyond the arc except in the last quarter. Spain improved a lot on deffense and broke the game on the third quarter trashing Australia. 

Great Britain 62-67 Brazil

The horrible offensive first quarter helped us to win both bets quite comfortably. Not a good game at all and GB was close to cause one of the bigger upsets of the tournament.

France 71-64 Argentina

Argentina was overrated after their big win against Lithuania. The baltic team´s attitude on Sunday was so poor and Argentina trashed them. Today, neither Delfino nor Nocioni were effective on offense and France really stepped up to clinch a very important win.

Lithuania 72-53 Nigeria

Kemzura´s squad attitude was so much better than two days ago and really deserved this clear win. They fought hard on deffense since the beginning and Nigeria absolutely disappeared and couldn´t even reduce the margin at the end.    

Picks	88
Won	62		70,45%
Lost	25		28,41%
Void	1		1,14%
Stake	297
Profit	136,524
Yield	45,97%
Av. Odd	1,926955

BETTING TIPS (XXX) INTERNATIONAL FRIENDLY GAMES: AUSTRIA - ISRAEL

After winning Aerosvit Cup in Ukraine last week, Israel NT will play another international tournament in Austria this weekend. They will be facing Austria, Portugal and Germany in Oberwart.


The big news regarding Israel´s NT roster is that Casspi, Eliyahu and Halperin joined the team this week and all of them are expected to play today. Coach Arik Shivek released  Nissim, Rothbart and Kokia for this austrian tournament. Alex Tyus, Guy Pnini and Yogev Oyahon were the true leaders of the team in Aerosvit Cup. I expect quite a fast and offensive style with all their best weapons available.


Germany trashed Austria on Wednesday (40-68) in a friendly match. Austria NT really struggled in offense and they really need to step up for Eurobasket 2013 qualifiers. 


IMO Israel should win quite comfortably today by 20 or more points.


Austria - Israel. Israel -12 (1,97) Stake 5. Pinnacle
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Austria 70-95 Israel +4,85 Units


Israel woke up a bit late after a horrible first quarter (29-18). Since then, they smashed Austria as expected.

Picks 77 Won 53 68,83% Lost 23 29,87% Void 1 1,30% Stake 267 Profit 120,4 Yield 45,09% Av. Odd 1,928052

BETTING TIPS (XXVIII): LONDON 2012 OLYMPIC BASKETBALL TOURNAMENT (DAY ONE)

These are my first picks for London 2012 Olympic Basketball Tournament. Stay Tuned !

Spain - China. Spain Total Points Over 85,5 (1,90) Unibet. Stake 2,5

Spain - China. Spain -19,5 (1,90) Unibet. Stake 2,5

Spain should win quite comfortably this game. It´s true that the first match in these competitions is weird and difficult but Scariolo´s squad should beat quite easily this chinese team. China is still missing Yao Ming and they just rely on their starting five (Wei-Yue-Wang-Yi Jianlian-Zhizhi Wang). IMO we´ll watch a fast game with Spain getting many easy baskets in transition.

Argentina - Lithuania. Under 164 points (1,94) Pinnacle. Stake 2,5

First game of the tournament for both teams that will clash after their big game on Turkey´s Worldcup semifinals. It´s true that none of them had shown good deffensive attitude in their roads to London. However I think it will be quite different in this game and I expect a lower scoring line than this. Lithuanian backcourt had been struggling beyond the arc and they will have to beat tough customers such as Ginobili, Delfino or Nocioni. In the paint it will be quite interesting to watch youngster Valanciunas facing lots of veterans as Scola, Gutiérrez or Leiva. We should watch a very physical game and the line should be around 158.

STAT BETS (Day One)

Nigeria - Tunisia: Al-Farouq Aminu Over 13,5 Points (1,85) Unibet. Stake 1

The young NBA SF-PF was one of the leaders of Nigeria NT, together with Ike Diogu, in Venezuela´s Olympic Qualifier. If he´s inspired he shouldn´t have any problems with tunisian deffenders. IMO the line should be around 16-17 points.

Brazil - Australia: Patty Mills Over 13,5 Points (1,85) Unibet. Stake 1

Mills have really felt the ball in Australia´s prep games. With excellent pct beyond the arc he will face Huertas and I think he´ll beat this scoring line.

Russia- Great Britain: Shved Over 10 Points (1,85) Unibet. Stake 1,5

Alexey Shved should destroy british PGS with his intense deffensive pressure and stealing skills. Probably without Mike Lenzley, either Nate Reinking or Andrew Lawrence won´t be able to stop him in open field so I expect many transitions and easy lay ups for the russian CG.

Spain - China: Marc Gasol        Under 14 points (1,85) Unibet. Stake 2

Spain - China: Juan C. Navarro Under 16 points (1,85) Unibet Stake 1


Marc Gasol has been sitting out with a shoulder injury for the last 10 days so if he finally plays against China he will see limited action. I think it´s the most valuable stat bet of the day.


Juan Carlos Navarro has been playing few minutes because of nagging foot and back injuries. I don´t think Coach Scariolo will risk at all so he won´t be playing more than 15-18 minutes.
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+0,925 Units Won.
Bitersweet day. The stat bets outcome was brilliant, though Aminu played such a bad game. Spain didn´t deffend well and a bad third quarter made impossible to win the spread bet against China. Lithuania was a total disaster and was trashed by Argentina since the very beginning. Frantic pace and crazy score.

Picks	77
Won	53		68,83%
Lost	23		29,87%
Void	1		1,30%
Stake	267
Profit	120,4
Yield	45,09%
Av. Odd	1,928052

BETTING TIPS (XXIV) SPAIN VS ARGENTINA

Spain - Argentina. Under 156 points (1.96) Pinnacle. Stake 2.5
Spain - Argentina. Spain -7 (1.90) Pinnacle. Stake 2

Spain  and Argentina will be clashing in La Coruña in one hour. This is the first game in Europe for Argentina after arriving a couple of days ago and they will face USA Team in Barcelona on Sunday. Tough tests for Julio Lamas´squad after its good preparation in South America. Carlos Delfino will play his first game this summer with Argentina NT as he joined the team three days ago. Luis Scola is also expected to play tonight, but we´ll see if he´s fully fit after suffering a minor knee injury last week, against Brazil.

Neither Marc Gasol nor Sergio Rodríguez will play with Spain as they are recovering from  minor injuries. As it happenned against Australia, I expect both Serge Ibaka and Reyes playing more minutes, meaning more physical intensity in Spanish frontcourt. Spain must improve their deffensive performance and overpower their opponents in the paint. The big questions will take place on Spanish backcourt...Will Rudy and Navarro be able to stop Ginóbili and Nocioni? 

Taking for granted that both teams will give their best I expect a lower scoring line and Spain should step up tonight in both fields to win this game more comfortably than expected. 
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Spain 105-85 Argentina -0,7 Units


Crazy game since the beginning. Spain smashed Argentina in a stunning first half (61-36) and the game was completely broken. Poor deffensive effort in both sides so this game can´t be taken as a serious test regarding next week´s Olympic Games.

Picks	57
Won	39		68,42%
Lost	17		29,82%
Void	1		1,75%
Stake	211
Profit	96,695
Yield	45,83%
Av. Odd	1,933509

BETTING TIPS (XXIII) INTERNATIONAL FRIENDLIES

Montenegro - Latvia. Over 148.5 points (1,95) Stake 3 Pinnacle


Montenegro - Latvia. Latvia +9.5 points (1,95) Stake 3 Pinnacle

Montenegro and Latvia will play today and tomorrow a couple of friendly matches in Zlatibor. These will be the first prep games for Montenegro this summer, looking for Eurobasket 2013 qualification, starting next month. 

The Balkan team will begin a new age after last year´s failure. They headed for EuroBasket 2011 with high expectations and departed Lithuania having failed to live up to them. HC Dejan Radonjic left the team in October and was replaced by Luka Pavicevic.

Pavicevic, well-known by his great work in Alba Berlin, will look for a fresher style in offense, trying to move the ball much better than last year. For sure, he will take advantage of his new CGS “additions”. Either Taylor Rochestie or Brion Rush (both of them got Montenegrin citizenship this year) will give more speed and better shooting beyond the arc than Omar Cook. 

In contrast to those interesting backcourt additions, neither Pekovic nor Vucevic will be available for the team in this early stage of preparation. So it´s time for promising Bojan Dubljevic to lead Montenegro´s frontcourt together with Dragicevic and Bjelica. It will also be so interesting to watch talented youngster PG Nikola Ivanovic with the NT.

Latvia, on the other hand, keeps on relying on the group of talented youngsters that started working with HC Bagatskis  two years ago. The Latvian side will try to play its attractive run&gun style led by their new fresh talents as both Bertans´brothers and Janis Strelnieks.

Today, SF Richards Kuksis shouldn´t be available after an injury against Cyprus on Saturday. 

The Latvian side smashed Cyprus last weekend in a couple of friendlies and they will head to Serbia next week to play against Dusan Ivkovic´s NT.

Great Britain - USA. Over 173 points (1,95) Stake 4 Pinnacle

“This is a massive opportunity for British basketball to get some oxygen, to breathe life into the sport in this country,” said Chris Mitchell, who calls Britain's games for BBC Radio. “Team USA being here is arguably the biggest-ever game this country has hosted. It's arguably bigger than any game they'll play at the Olympics, because they'll only face USA if they get through their group and perhaps meet them in the quarterfinals. So this, this week, it's almost the climax to the history of British basketball. It's huge.”

This is the perfect definition of what should happen tonight in Manchester. British Basketball needs to become more popular and I think we´ll watch quite an attractive and high-scoring game. Team USA, as well, should improve their offensive performance after their sloppy game against Brazil on Monday so the line should be closer to 180 points.
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Montenegro 92-74 Latvia & Great Britain 78-118 USA +3,65 Units

Picks	55
Won	38		69,09%
Lost	16		29,09%
Void	1		1,82%
Stake	206,5
Profit	97,395
Yield	47,16%
Av. Odd	1,933636