BETTING TIPS (XXXIII) LONDON 2012 OLYMPIC BASKETBALL TOURNAMENT (DAY THREE)

These are my tips for tomorrow´s basketball games. I may add some extra live picks tomorrow. Stay Tuned!

Brazil - Russia. Brazil +7 (1,917) Pinnacle. Stake 3

Russia NT have probably become one of the ´trendiest´ teams of the tournament after their first two convincing victories. Of course they have shown all their power mostly based on all-CSKA´s (2011-12) members starting five: Shved (absolutely inspired since signing with T´Wolves), Ponkrashov, Kirilenko, Khryapa and Kaun. A big, physical team with powerful centers as Kaun and Mozgov (coming from the bench) and the tenacious and unrelenting play of Kirilenko-Khryapa couple in the SF/PF positions.

Which teams can cope with all that physical strength? Undoubtedly, Brazil is one of them. They will accept this challenge today and play a tough battle in the paint with Nené, Splitter and Varejao. It will be such an interesting clash against russian centers. For sure, Magnano´s squad will give their best today and they can beat Russia if their backcourt weapons (Huertas, Barbosa, García and Machado) are inspired  beyond the arc.

IMO this spread is quite valuable. I think we´ll see a closer game than expected. We haven´t seen yet the classical offensive russian blackouts and Brazil can stop them. 

Player Performance:


David Andersen. Total Points Scored (Including OT): Over 11 (1,85) Unibet. Stake 3

This line was clearly created on David Andersen´s poor performance against Spain. It´s true that the boomer really struggled from the field (2/11) and committed quite early and stupid fouls on Gasol´s brothers. After that he didn´t have any impact at all in the game and coach Brett Anderson decided to give him a rest for today´s big game against China. 

I think he will step up today and lead his team. IMO the line is too short and Andersen will score 15 points or more. He should overpower either Yi or Wang on offense.
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Russia 75-74 Brazil & David Andersen scored 17 points (15 @ HT) +5,301 Units


What a thriller was the game between Russia and Brazil. Russia won at the buzzer with a stunning three-pointer from Vitaly Fridzon. The game was such a physical battle as expected.


David Andersen exploded on the first half scoring fifteen points leading boomers´offense. 

Picks	90
Won	64		71,11%
Lost	25		27,78%
Void	1		1,11%
Stake	303
Profit	141,825
Yield	46,81%
Av. Odd	1,925989

BETTING TIPS (XXXII): LONDON 2012 OLYMPIC BASKETBALL TOURNAMENT (DAY TWO)

These are my picks for tomorrow. Not enough time to explain them properly. Basically, I expect much better deffensive performances and closer games. Stay Tuned for more picks on Twitter !

China - Russia. Under 155 points (1,943) Pinnacle. Stake 2


Australia - Spain. Under 155 points (1,926) Pinnacle. Stake 2


Great Britain - Brazil. Under 157,5 points (1,943) Pinnacle. Stake 2
Great Britain Under 73,5 points (1,90) Unibet. Stake 2


Argentina - France. France +5,5 (1,90) Pinnacle. Stake 2 

(LIVE BETTING PICKS) Lithuania - Nigeria. Nigeria +16,5 (1,90) Bet365 Stake 3 

(Bet placed at the end of the 3rdQ SCORE 56-40)

(LIVE BETTING PICKS) Lithuania - Nigeria. Over 135,5 points (1,90) Bet365 Stake 3 

(Bet placed at the end of the 3rdQ SCORE 56-40)

(LIVE BETTING PICKS) Lithuania - Nigeria. Nigeria +22,5 (1,90) Bet365 Stake 5 

(Bet placed with 6:24 remaining in the 4thQ SCORE 62-41 & TimeOut)

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+7,724 Units Won Today !

China 54-73 Russia

Russia worked really hard on deffensive pressure and broke the game since the first quarter. Kirilenko was impressive again on both sides stopping China´s offense.

Australia 70-82 Spain

The boomers really struggled beyond the arc except in the last quarter. Spain improved a lot on deffense and broke the game on the third quarter trashing Australia. 

Great Britain 62-67 Brazil

The horrible offensive first quarter helped us to win both bets quite comfortably. Not a good game at all and GB was close to cause one of the bigger upsets of the tournament.

France 71-64 Argentina

Argentina was overrated after their big win against Lithuania. The baltic team´s attitude on Sunday was so poor and Argentina trashed them. Today, neither Delfino nor Nocioni were effective on offense and France really stepped up to clinch a very important win.

Lithuania 72-53 Nigeria

Kemzura´s squad attitude was so much better than two days ago and really deserved this clear win. They fought hard on deffense since the beginning and Nigeria absolutely disappeared and couldn´t even reduce the margin at the end.    

Picks	88
Won	62		70,45%
Lost	25		28,41%
Void	1		1,14%
Stake	297
Profit	136,524
Yield	45,97%
Av. Odd	1,926955

BETTING TIPS (XXV) INTERNATIONAL FRIENDLIES: AUSTRALIA WOMEN - BRAZIL WOMEN & FRANCE - BRAZIL

Australia - Brazil. Under 151.5 points (1.97) Pinnacle. Stake 3
Australia - Brazil. Australia -17 (1.95) Pinnacle. Stake 2

Australia and Brazil will clash this afternoon in Villeneuve D´Ascq (France) in a friendly tournament before the Olympics. The Jayco Opals trashed China yesterday (84-53) showing a great deffensive performance. 

Brazil, on the other hand, lost against France (67-57). That poor offensive performance should be changed but it will quite difficult as Brazilian Basketball Federation has confirmed that wing Iziane Castro Marques has been cut from the team for actions off the court.

Castro Marques was cut for taking her boyfriend to sleep in her hotel room for a couple of nights. She apologized for that to the team and management and asked to be take back on the squad. There was no indication the decision will be overturned.

Decision to cut her was made by the manager Hortencia and the coaching staff.

Brazil will continue to play with 11 players, because the only substitutions right now that can be made are for injury reasons.

It’s not the first time Castro Marques has had issues with Brazilian coaching staff – she got in a conflict with coaches during 2008 Olympic Qualification Tournament and was left off the NT for Beijing Olympic games.

With this major absence, Brazil offense is really turned down. We have to remind, as well, that the Jayco Opals aren´t playing with SF Penny Taylor, injured in April so I expect a lower scoring line with Australia dominating the paint with Lauren Jackson and Elizabeth Cambage.
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Australia 78-75 Brazil -5 Units


Crappy Deffensive Performance from Australia and both picks lost. The Jayco Opals started as expected (25-9 in 1stQ) but they stop deffending and let Brazilians scoring easy baskets. Lauren Jackson did not play after HT and that was a massive factor for losing both tips as Erika De Souza became unstoppable.

(LIVE BETTING PICKS) France - Brazil. France +5,5 (1,83) Bet365 Stake 5 
(Bet placed at the beginning of the 3rdQ with 41-48 and France´s TO)


(LIVE BETTING PICKS) France - Brazil. France +9,5 (1,83) Bet365 Stake 5 
(Bet placed in the last two minutes of the 3rdQ with 54-65)
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France 78-74 Brazil +8,3 Units


France completed an incredible comeback in the fourth quarter to snatch a 78-74 victory against Brazil in Strasbourg. Lifted up by De Colo & Seraphin in offense & Bokolo stealing some key balls in half-court pressure, the french team managed to defeat Brazil after trailing by eleven points at the end of the third quarter. 


Stay Tuned to Twitter for My Live Betting Picks !

Picks	61
Won	41		67,21%
Lost	19		31,15%
Void	1		1,64%
Stake	226
Profit	99,995
Yield	44,25%
Av. Odd	1,930984

BETTING TIPS (XIX) : USA - BRAZIL

Tonight USA and Brazil will clash in Washington. This game will be the second and the last one in USA for Coach Krzyzewski´s squad. Regarding last Brazilian preparatory games I expect a physical game quite similar to the game they played in Turkey, two years ago. IMO the spread is too high (should be between 20-25 points), comparing both rosters and the experience of brazilian players. Paul, James and Bryant should step up in offense while USA´s frontcourt will struggle against powerful NBA Brazilian centers.

USA - Brazil. Brazil +31.5 (1,96) Pinnacle. Stake 5

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USA 80-69 Brazil +4,8 Units

BETTING TIPS (XVII) USA VS DOMINICAN REPUBLIC & BRAZIL VS ARGENTINA

Tonight USA and Dominican Republic will clash in Las Vegas (Nevada). This game will be the first test for Coach Krzyzewski´s squad. Regarding Dominican Republic performance in the Olympic Qualifying Tournament I expect a run&gun game with lots of fast transitions and poor deffense. 

USA - Dominican Republic. Over 174 points (1.97) Pinnacle. Stake 4

Finally (20 minutes to tip off) I have decided to place an extra bet in the game Argentina - Brazil.

Both teams play again after their game in Argentina, four days ago (78-74). I think we´ll see a hard game with Brazil controlling the tempo and overpowering Argentina in the paint. Neither Ginóbili nor Delfino will be playing in Iguazú tonight for Argentina. In addition to Brazilian motivation and frontcourt´s superiority, tonight Houston Rockets have decided to to use the amnesty provision on Luis Scola. I don´t think he´ll be eager to play  at his best tonight. 

Brazil - Argentina.  Brazil -5.5 points  (1.96) Pinnacle. Stake 4
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USA 113-59 Dominican Republic & Brazil 91-76 Argentina -0,16 Units


Sloppy first half in Las Vegas that slew down the game so much. It was so close but it wasn´t enough.

Brazil controlled the game quite comfortably and had no problems to beat Argentina. Great offensive performance by the brazilians.

Picks	44
Won	30		68,18%
Lost	13		29,55%
Void	1		2,27%
Stake	166,5
Profit	76,875
Yield	46,17%
Av. Odd	1,928864

Betting Tips (VIII) : Brazil vs Greece and New Zealand vs Nigeria

Brazil and Greece will clash tonight in Sao Carlos to determine the winner of Torneio Eletrobras. Both NTs have won comfortably their two games against two weak rivals as New Zealand and Nigeria. This game must be a valuable test for both head coaches.

Hellas NT, will start playing the Olympic Qualifying Tournament in Venezuela  on Monday. They will be fighting for one of the last three tickets to London.  The Greek squad, led by HC Zouros, has completed a perfect preparation. After beating  Lithuania and FYROM in the Baltic country they have displayed all their offensive power in Brazil trashing New Zealand and Nigeria.

The Greek block is practically the same that made a great performance at Lithuania 2011 Eurobasket, without Dimitris Diamantidis. Despite the absence of the great PG, the Greeks played as a solid team based on serious defensive commitment and exploiting the quality of experienced players as Fotsis, Zisis and Bouroussis.

Tonight, Greece will face a Brazilian NT team that still has four weeks to work hard before the Olympics. Head Coach Ruben Magnano  has started working this week with the final block that will go to London. Despite not playing yet with Leandrinho Barbosa and Tiago Splitter, they have made  very interesting offensive performances.  

Magnano´s teams are always built from deffense to offense.  The power of Anderson Varejao and Nene in the paint should be the best of Brazilian weapons to stop Bouroussis and Vougioukas. In the backcourt we´ll see a nice battle between Huertas and Zisis and youngsters Benite and Papanikolau.  

I expect a low scoring game tonight with both teams working hard on deffense and playing long possessions. Zouros  will try to hide some of his best offensive plays for OQT in Venezuela. IMO the line is too high.

Brazil vs Greece. Under 150.5 points (1.97) Pinnacle Stake 2.5

(Value Bet till -149 points)

New Zealand and Nigeria play today their last friendly game before flying to Venezuela. Both teams have struggled a lot in this Torneio Eletrobras in Brazil. 

Nigeria isn´t playing with key offensive players as Ime Udoka and Michael Umeh. Together with these major absences, Derrick Obasohan has been sidelined in this Brazilian tournament. So, only Diogu is the only reliable attacking option for Coach Ayo Bakare.

On the other hand, The Tall Blacks, are missing as well Kirk Penney and Tom Abercrombie. Without these two key ballers, New Zealand NT struggle in offense as they can´t replace them.

I think we´ll see quite a physical and ugly game with both teams battling for an important win before OQT.

New Zealand vs Nigeria. Under 154 points (1.98) Pinnacle Stake 2.5
(Value Bet till -152 points)

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Brazil 78-71 Greece (Struggling at the end with a high scoring last Q)
New Zealand 66-74 Nigeria (Quite low scoring tempo and easy pick except last Q)


+4,875 units

Picks	10
Won	8		80,00%
Lost	2		20,00%
Void	0		0,00%
Stake	37,5
Profit	22,3
Yield	59,47%
Av. Odd	1,914