Mostrando entradas con la etiqueta Venezuela. Mostrar todas las entradas
Mostrando entradas con la etiqueta Venezuela. Mostrar todas las entradas

miércoles, 4 de julio de 2012

BETTING TIPS (XI): FIBA OLYMPIC QUALIFYING TOURNAMENT: DAY THREE


This is my first prematch pick of the third day of the tournament. 


I may not place any more prematch tips today but Stay Tuned to Twitter as I will deliver Live Picks in the remaining games. Remember that there´s much at stake for the teams and they will be looking for the best options in the QFs and SemiFinals...


Angola vs New Zealand. Over 148.5 (1.96) Pinnacle Stake 3
(Value Bet till 150)


Angola surprised everyone on Monday beating FYR Of Macedonia with an outstanding offensive performance in the first half, absolutely inspired beyond the arc. Mingas, Cipriano and Morais stunned the Balkan team. They moved the ball incredibly well, always finding open shots and outrebounding them.


The Tall Blacks are virtually out of the tournament so they should play more relaxed in offense and improve their numbers. Mika Vukona was almost fouled out in the first half yesterday and didn´t have any impact in the game. I think he will lead his team today and we´ll also see more game-time for Lou and Pledger in the frontcourt.


I expect quite a fast pace game with short possesions. Both teams should play without no pressure and the line is quite attractive. In addition, almost all the referees in this tournament are calling every contact so I expect many free throws to come as both sides commit many stupid fouls.  


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Angola 64-68 New Zealand -3 Units


Angola´s horrible offensive performance killed us. Shooting Percentages (17/41 41% & 4/25 16%) say all. Nothing to do with Monday´s game against FYR Of Macedonia. New Zealand took an early  and comfortable lead since the begininng and kept them till the end.



Picks 23    
Won 15   65,22%
Lost 8   34,78%
Void 0   0,00%
Stake 91,5    
Profit 40,88    
Yield 44,68%    
Av. Odd 1,928696    

lunes, 2 de julio de 2012

BETTING TIPS (IX) 2012 FIBA OLYMPIC QUALIFYING TOURNAMENT: DAY ONE, SIX PICKS




For the first day of the tournament I won´t write too much as you can find all the important info on these previous posts. If I find more interesting picks tomorrow I will write about them on twitter. So these are my tips:

Russia vs South Korea. Russia -25.5 (1.90) Unibet Stake 2.5
(Value Bet till -27)



Russia vs South Korea. Russia -13.5 HT (1.90) Unibet Stake 2.5
(Value Bet till -14.5)



First game of the tournament in Caracas. The strongest team against the weakest team. Russia should trash Korea. It´s the best game for David Blatt´s roster to begin and get used to the "Poliedro´s" conditions.


Greece vs Jordan. Greece -15.5 HT (1.90) Unibet Stake 2


(Value Bet till -16)

Again a lot of differences between these two teams. I have chosen the HT handicap because the greeks have played quite aggresively in the first two quarters of every preparatory games. The FT handicap is a bit dangerous to me, as Greece could start thinking in their game against Puerto Rico and relax a little bit.

Angola vs FYR Of Macedonia. FYR Of Macedonia -7,5 (1.94) Pinnacle Stake 1.5
(Value Bet till -8.5)
Angola vs FYR Of Macedonia. Under 148 points (1.94) Pinnacle Stake 1.5
(Value bet Under 147 points)

It should be the most difficult game of the day. Angola will fight and try to slow the tempo to stop Bo McCalebb´s production. FYROM should take advantage of their big men in the paint and if Angola is not inspired beyond the arc they will struggle in offense.


Venezuela vs Nigeria. Venezuela -10 (1.97) Pinnacle Stake 3
(Value Bet till -12)


Venezuela could feel the pressure in the first game but I think they are quite ready for this clash. They will give their best to get their first win and they should win comfortably if Vásquez imposes his rhythm and they control the boards.

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+0,3 Units after a disappointing day. 

Nobody expected Angola´s massive performance in the first half. Macedonia woke up too late and they couldn´t even win the game. Venezuela, on the other hand, didn´t play as they had been doing the last weeks. Neither Romero nor Torres were able to help Vásquez in the offensive field. Missing many open shots and not controlling the tempo...


Picks 16    
Won 11   68,75%
Lost 5   31,25%
Void 0   0,00%
Stake 50,5    
Profit 22,6    
Yield 44,75%    
Av. Odd 1,91875    

domingo, 1 de julio de 2012

2012 FIBA OLYMPIC QUALIFYING TOURNAMENT ANALYSIS: GROUPS A & B

GROUP A



GREECE  

The Greek squad , led by  Head Coach Ilias Zouros, arrives in Venezuela with high confidence after their preparatory games. Hellas NT is practically the same that played so well last year in Lithuania Eurobasket 2011. The biggest changes are the return of Vassilis Spanoulis and the absence of Kostas Koufos. With Spanoulis´ comeback, the Greek Backcourt is probably the strongest of the tournament:  PGS Zisis and Calathes together with such an emerging talent as Papanikolau and the danger of Kostas Vasileiadis beyond the arc.

Zouros will have lots of quality options at the PF: Fotsis-Kaimakoglou (who probably play many minutes at small forward) and Printezis, who has been onfire in the last Friendly Tournament played in Brazil this week. 

Maybe the ´weakest´ position for the Greeks will be in the frontcourt. Bouroussis and Mavroeidis are the only Big C´s with the absences of Koufos, Schortsianitis and Vougiukas.

Hellas is one of the main favourites and if their offense keeps on working as they have done in these previous weeks, they will get one of the Olympic spots.


JORDAN

Last year in Asiabasket 2011, Jordan managed to reach the final and get the silver medal. Courageous and commited team, they upsetted the Philippines in the semifinals working so hard on deffense.

However, the middle-east team will play this summer without its biggest star PG Rasheem Wright. The American-Jordanian won´t be available for Head Coach Tab Baldwin and the offense will just pend on both experienced PG Osama Daghles and C Zaid Abbas.

Jordanian style has always been quite slow with long possessions and they will truly miss Wright´s outstanding skills as they are the weakest team in this Tournament.


PUERTO RICO

Puerto Rico NT will have a big test in this Caracas´Olympic Qualifying Tournament after its last week home defeat against Dominican Republic in Centrobasket 2012 (played in San Juan).

HC Flor Meléndez wants a ticket to London for his team, relying on their distinctive and attractive style of play. Run & Gun offense commanded by talented and electric PGS Juan José Barea and Carlos Arroyo.  Shooting Guards Huertas and Rosario will open the court to their big men and will be quite dangerous from downtown.

The offensive talents of Nathan Peavy  and Renaldo Balkman´s deffensive toughness are the main weapons in the PF.  In the paint, the experience of Daniel Santiago together with the quality of Ricky Sánchez make  Puerto Rico such a solid team if they are inspired and focused.


GROUP B



LITHUANIA

After an irregular and strange preparation, Lithuania NT arrives in Venezuela with a lot of questions and doubts around the team. HC Kestutis Kemzura has been trying with both successful WC 2010 and disappointing Euro2011 styles of play. The key problem for the Baltic Team is the lack of outsdating long range shooters (Seibutis, Gecevicius and Jasaitis in the back court and Lavrinovic´s brothers  and Motiejunas are sidelined).

Despite all absences, Lithuania should be among the favourites to qualify for London2012. With Kleiza,  Jasikevicius and Valanciunas as the key offensive references they´ll need more production from the bench. If they find their rhythm in offensive transitions and improve their defensive level they should have many options to be in the semifinals for the sixth consecutive time.

NIGERIA

Building a solid future for Nigeria NT. That´s HC Ayo Bakare´s goal for this tournament with the absence of his most important players (Udoka, Eze, Ere, Umeh). 

The roster that arrives in Caracas has lots of new faces regarding last year´s in Madagascar Afrobasket 2011. PG Tony Skin, SGS Obasohan and Oguchi will help NBA SF Al farouq Aminu in the offensive backcourt. The strength and power of Aminu, Diogu and Oyedeji will be their main weapons in the paint.

They were smashed by Brazil and Greece, last week, so they will try to upset Venezuela but I don’t´give them any options.


VENEZUELA

In my opinion, the hosts are going to be serious contenders in this competition and everybody in Caracas expects them to claim one of the Olympic berths. It won´t be easy at all, but Venezuela NT has shewn great commitment in the last two years and they are ready for this contest.

NBA PG Greivis Vásquez is the true offensive leader of the team. Together with him, SGS Cox, Cubillán, Sucre and Zamora complete a dangerous backcourt. In the paint, the experience and talent of Héctor "Pepito" Romero and Óscar Torres will be helped by the toughness of Gregory Echenique and Windi Graterol.

“Venezuelan basketball has advanced more in this year than in the last 20,” Greivis Vásquez said. They play as a team with passion and smartness, so give full credit to HC Eric Musselman.

If they win their first two games - and that’s a big if - the self-belief would grow and the fans would have the opportunity to give the team an extra push in the clashes to follow. It won´t be easy at all, but more than anything at this moment, perspective is needed for Venezuelan basketball.



COMPETITION FORMAT


The Olympic Qualifying Tournament basketball competition for men consists of a Preliminary Round, Quarter-Finals, Semi-Finals and Finals. 


Preliminary Round 


The 12 participating teams will be divided into four groups (A,B,C & D) of three (3) teams each. Each team will play with the other two (2) teams in its own group. The two (2) highest ranked teams in each group will qualify for the Quarter-Finals. The 3th ranked teams in each group will be eliminated and will not play anymore.


Quarter-Finals 


The eight (8) teams qualified from the Preliminary Round will play the direct elimination as follows: 


A1 vs. B2 
B1 vs. A2  
C1 vs. D2  
D1 vs. C2  


The winners of the above games will qualify for the Semi-Finals. The losers will be eliminated and will not play anymore. 


Semi-Finals 


The winners of the Quarter-Finals will play for places 1-4.


The winners of these games will play in the Gold Medal Game and will qualify to London 2012 Olympic Games.


The losers will play in the Bronze Medal Game. The winner of this game will get the third and last spot to London 2012 Olympics.

2012 FIBA OLYMPIC QUALIFYING TOURNAMENT: GROUPS C & D


GROUP C



RUSSIA

Russian NT is the team to beat in the tournament.  Despite their usual offensive shortcomings, they are the most solid team and shouldn´t have any problem to qualify for the London 2012 Olympics. David Blatt keeps the block of players that got the bronze medal in Lithuanian Eurobasket 2011. Vorontsevich and Bykov are sidelined but C Sasha Kaun comes back to help the team in the paint.  

AK 47 Kirilenko and Sergey Monya are the best pair of Forwards in the tournament. In the frontcourt, the power and strength of Kaun, Mozgov and Khryapa will be a key factor in every game. In PG, Shved and Fridzon will lead the team and will have to play many minutes as Khostov and Ponkrashov, aren´t in the same level.  Let´s see if the newcomers Voronov, Karasev and Grigoryev can be helpful  from the bench.

DOMINICAN REPUBLIC

Dominican Republic wants to get a ticket to London. Together with Venezuela, they should be among the underdogs of the tournament. Coached by John Calipari, they have shown last week in Puerto Rico´s Centrobasket that they are absolutely ready for this challenge.

With a fast and attractive style of play, the Dominicans have a great starting five. The electric PG Manuel Fortuna together with SG Juan Coronado will help talented NBA SF Francisco García from downtown.  Al Horford, Atlanta Hawks PF, and Jack Michael Martínez are the big names in one of the most powerful frontcourts of the tournament with Josh Asselin and Eulis Báez coming from the bench. 

If the Caribbean team increases it´s deffensive attitude, be careful with them as they have a lot of weapons to get into the semifinals.

KOREA

After winning the bronze medal in last year´s Asiabasket 2011, Korea NT arrives in Caracas thinking about the future with the big absences of experienced and talented PG Yang Dong-Geun, SG Moon Tae-Jong (aka Jarod Stevenson), F Cho Sung Min and PF Kim Joo-Sung.

In addition to all these important sidelined players, Sang Beom Lee, Korean HC, will have the serious doubt of Sek-eun Oh (the young talented C), with physical problems.  The Korean team will try to play fast, with many long range shots and being aggressive in deffense to compensate their lack of physical power. SG Lee Seung-Jun will be the only offensive reference from downtown.


GROUP D




FYR OF MACEDONIA

No longer underdogs, FYROM will play its first Official Tournament out of Europe after their big achievement last year in Lithuania Eurobasket. Few months ago, Marjan Lazovski became new Head Coach replacing Marin Dokuzovski. That won´t bring any important changes as Lazovski has been working with FYROM´s NT since 2006.

Again, Bo McCalebb will be the lighthouse of the Balkan team. One of the best PG in FIBA Basketball will lead the offense helped by Vlado Ilievski and Stojanovski´s brothers beyond the arc. In the frontcourt, one more time, the versatility of PF Pero Antic together with the big centers Gecevski and Samardziski will be the heart of the team.

They have been quite irregular in the preparatory games as Bo McCalebb arrived late due to the Italian Serie A Final Series.  However, they´ll give their best to get into the semifinals and we know that impossible means nothing to them.


NEW ZEALAND

Hard times for the Tall Blacks as SG Kirk Penney and PF Thomas Abercrombie won´t be available for this tournament. HC Vucinic will be without two of his most important players so New Zealand will struggle a lot in offense. New Zealand will fight and try not to be trashed by their rivals but they are so far away of being dangerous at all.

Lindsay Tait will be the most important player in offensive terms while Vukona and Casey Frank will add their experience and physical strength. In the paint, bic Cs, Pledger and Lou should give something better for the team as they did in previous tournaments.

ANGOLA

After being defeated by Tunisia in the last Afrobasket 2011 final, Angola NT will need a miraculous performance to qualify for London 2012 Olympics. With the scorer Armando Costa in the PG, the Angolan offensive game will mainly pend on the couple of Forwards formed by Carlos Morais and Joaquim Gomes. In the frontcourt, the experienced Eduardo Mingas should help Paulo and promising big Cs Moreira and Joaquim.

Angola NT is a limited height team, prone to disciplinary problems. However, they have always been tough customers for any opponent. Dangerous in the offensive rebounding, beware if they are inspired beyond the arc.

martes, 26 de junio de 2012

Betting Tips (VII) Super 4 Tournament: Venezuela - Jordan







Tonight, begin two friendly tournaments before the Olympic 2012 Men Qualifiers (starting on Monday in Caracas). Both 4-Nation tournaments (played in Venezuela and Brazil from June 26th to June 28th) will be the last tests for Greece, Angola, Jordan, Venezuela, Dominican Republic, Nigeria and New Zealand.


Israel Sarmiento´s Super 4 Tournament starts tonight in Puerto La Cruz. The hosts (Venezuela NT) will play against Jordan, Dominican Republic and Angola. Eric Musselman´s team came back to Venezuela, after  winning second place in the South American Basketball Championship, played in Argentina last week.


Óscar Torres and John Cox were not in the team that won the runner-up in Argentina, but they are expected to play tonight. Head Coach Eric Musselman will take the contest to evaluate them and other players as Jesús Urbina and Michael Flores.


"We are very excited to have back Oscar Torres. He was a leader for us last year and did a great job. Undoubtedly had to be part of this process, because we need it, "Musselman said.


Musselman named fifteen men for this Super 4 Tournament:


PGs & SGs: David Cubillán, Gregory Vargas, Greivis Vásquez, John Cox, Jhornan Zamora. 
SFs-PFs: Michael Flores, José Vargas, Óscar Torres, Francisco Centeno Jesús Urbina, Axiers Sucre,  Héctor Romero, José Bravo. 
Cs: Windi Graterol, Miguel Marriaga, Gregory Echenique.


Venezuela will play tonight against Jordan. The middle-east team will play this summer without PG Rasheem Wright. The American-Jordanian won´t be available for Head Coach Thomas Baldwin and the offense will pend on both experienced PG Osama Daghles and C Zaid Abbas. Jordanian style has always been quite slow with long possessions and they will truly miss Wright´s outstanding skills.   


Greivis Vásquez, José Vargas, Francisco Centeno and Héctor "Pepito" Romero will sit out tonight so I expect a low-scoring game tonight together with Jordanian poor offense and Musselman´s changes.


Venezuela – Jordan. Under 156 points (1.95). Pinnacle Stake 5
(Value Bet till -154 points)


Venezuela - Jordan. Venezuela -13.5 (1.95) Spread. Pinnacle Stake 1.5
(Value Bet till -15 spread)



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Venezuela 81-42 Jordan +6.175 units

Despite Greivis Vásquez and "Pepito" Romero absences, Venezuela trashed Jordan. Very interesting deffensive performance of Eric Musselman´s roster against a very poor team. Quite comfortable picks.



Picks 8    
Won 6   75,00%
Lost 2   25,00%
Void 0   0,00%
Stake 32,5    
Profit 17,425    
Yield 53,62%    
Av. Odd 1,89875    

lunes, 18 de junio de 2012

Betting Tips (III) 2012 South American Basketball Championship: Venezuela - Chile




2012 South American Championship for Men, starts today in Argentina. This tournament will last from Monday to Friday. Both Argentina and Brazil NTs will use this tournament to start their preparation for the Olympics. However, Venezuela, the third title contender, will compete harder as they will be playing Olympic Qualifiers, at home, in a couple of weeks


Eric Musselman, Venezuela´s NT Head Coach, together with Brad Greenberg have named quite a powerful roster for this championship: Greivis Vásquez, Gregory Vargas, David Cubillan, José Vargas, Jhornan Zamora, Francisco Centeno, Héctor "Pepito" Romero,  Axiers Sucre, Windi Graterol, Gregory Echenique, Miguel Marriaga y José Bravo. 


Regarding that Óscar Torres and John Cox are recovering from some injuries, this is quite a competitive list. In previous friendly games, Venezuela managed to defeat Brazil and Argentina last week. The ´vinotinto´ team wants to play as good as they did at FIBA America´s Championship last year. Their goal is to qualify to the Olympics so they will give their best. Today, PG David Cubillan may not play as he got injured on friday against Brazil, but it will be a game-time decision.


Chilean Basketball, on the other hand, is still in the middle of nowhere. For this Championship they appointed Edgardo Vecchio as NT head coach, one month ago. This decision was quite controversial and we´ll see what happens with the attitude of some players and the inner future of the  team. Chile is coming to Argentina with an undersized roster that will struggle a lot.


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Venezuela 86-61 Chile (45-27 HT) +5.1 Units


Venezuela -22.5 (Unibet) 1.85 Stake 6 
 (Value spread till -25)


It could also be so interesting for livebettting Venezuela´s 1stQ and HT Spreads.
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viernes, 15 de junio de 2012

James Feldeine won´t play this summer for Dominican Republic NT


John Calipari, Dominican Republic NT Head Coach, has announced today the roster that will represent the caribbean country at Centrobasket 2012 in Puerto Rico (June 18-24) and  Fiba Olympic Qualifying Tournament in Venezuela (July 2-8).



This is the 12 men list:


Amaurys Fermín 
Karl Towns Jr
Manuel Guzmán
Manuel Fortuna
Al Horford
Francisco García 
Eulis Báez 
Jack Michael Martínez 
Josh Asselin 
Ronald Ramón 
Gerardo Suero
Juan Coronado


James Feldeine will not be with the team because of Passport and naturalization issues, as dominican federation reported. PG Edgar Sosa, coming from an injury, could be playing in the Olympic Qualifying Tournament. Dominican Republic will play its first Centrobasket 2012 game on Tuesday against Mexico. 


(via dominicanosenbasket)