BETTING TIPS (IX) 2012 FIBA OLYMPIC QUALIFYING TOURNAMENT: DAY ONE, SIX PICKS

For the first day of the tournament I won´t write too much as you can find all the important info on these previous posts. If I find more interesting picks tomorrow I will write about them on twitter. So these are my tips:

Russia vs South Korea. Russia -25.5 (1.90) Unibet Stake 2.5

(Value Bet till -27)

Russia vs South Korea. Russia -13.5 HT (1.90) Unibet Stake 2.5

(Value Bet till -14.5)

First game of the tournament in Caracas. The strongest team against the weakest team. Russia should trash Korea. It´s the best game for David Blatt´s roster to begin and get used to the "Poliedro´s" conditions.

Greece vs Jordan. Greece -15.5 HT (1.90) Unibet Stake 2

(Value Bet till -16)

Again a lot of differences between these two teams. I have chosen the HT handicap because the greeks have played quite aggresively in the first two quarters of every preparatory games. The FT handicap is a bit dangerous to me, as Greece could start thinking in their game against Puerto Rico and relax a little bit.

Angola vs FYR Of Macedonia. FYR Of Macedonia -7,5 (1.94) Pinnacle Stake 1.5

(Value Bet till -8.5)

Angola vs FYR Of Macedonia. Under 148 points (1.94) Pinnacle Stake 1.5

(Value bet Under 147 points)

It should be the most difficult game of the day. Angola will fight and try to slow the tempo to stop Bo McCalebb´s production. FYROM should take advantage of their big men in the paint and if Angola is not inspired beyond the arc they will struggle in offense.

Venezuela vs Nigeria. Venezuela -10 (1.97) Pinnacle Stake 3
(Value Bet till -12)


Venezuela could feel the pressure in the first game but I think they are quite ready for this clash. They will give their best to get their first win and they should win comfortably if Vásquez imposes his rhythm and they control the boards.

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+0,3 Units after a disappointing day. 

Nobody expected Angola´s massive performance in the first half. Macedonia woke up too late and they couldn´t even win the game. Venezuela, on the other hand, didn´t play as they had been doing the last weeks. Neither Romero nor Torres were able to help Vásquez in the offensive field. Missing many open shots and not controlling the tempo...

Picks	16
Won	11		68,75%
Lost	5		31,25%
Void	0		0,00%
Stake	50,5
Profit	22,6
Yield	44,75%
Av. Odd	1,91875

Betting Tips (VII) Super 4 Tournament: Venezuela - Jordan

Tonight, begin two friendly tournaments before the Olympic 2012 Men Qualifiers (starting on Monday in Caracas). Both 4-Nation tournaments (played in Venezuela and Brazil from June 26th to June 28th) will be the last tests for Greece, Angola, Jordan, Venezuela, Dominican Republic, Nigeria and New Zealand.


Israel Sarmiento´s Super 4 Tournament starts tonight in Puerto La Cruz. The hosts (Venezuela NT) will play against Jordan, Dominican Republic and Angola. Eric Musselman´s team came back to Venezuela, after  winning second place in the South American Basketball Championship, played in Argentina last week.


Óscar Torres and John Cox were not in the team that won the runner-up in Argentina, but they are expected to play tonight. Head Coach Eric Musselman will take the contest to evaluate them and other players as Jesús Urbina and Michael Flores.


"We are very excited to have back Oscar Torres. He was a leader for us last year and did a great job. Undoubtedly had to be part of this process, because we need it, "Musselman said.


Musselman named fifteen men for this Super 4 Tournament:


PGs & SGs: David Cubillán, Gregory Vargas, Greivis Vásquez, John Cox, Jhornan Zamora. 
SFs-PFs: Michael Flores, José Vargas, Óscar Torres, Francisco Centeno Jesús Urbina, Axiers Sucre,  Héctor Romero, José Bravo. 
Cs: Windi Graterol, Miguel Marriaga, Gregory Echenique.


Venezuela will play tonight against Jordan. The middle-east team will play this summer without PG Rasheem Wright. The American-Jordanian won´t be available for Head Coach Thomas Baldwin and the offense will pend on both experienced PG Osama Daghles and C Zaid Abbas. Jordanian style has always been quite slow with long possessions and they will truly miss Wright´s outstanding skills.   


Greivis Vásquez, José Vargas, Francisco Centeno and Héctor "Pepito" Romero will sit out tonight so I expect a low-scoring game tonight together with Jordanian poor offense and Musselman´s changes.


Venezuela – Jordan. Under 156 points (1.95). Pinnacle Stake 5
(Value Bet till -154 points)


Venezuela - Jordan. Venezuela -13.5 (1.95) Spread. Pinnacle Stake 1.5
(Value Bet till -15 spread)

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Venezuela 81-42 Jordan +6.175 units

Despite Greivis Vásquez and "Pepito" Romero absences, Venezuela trashed Jordan. Very interesting deffensive performance of Eric Musselman´s roster against a very poor team. Quite comfortable picks.

Picks	8
Won	6		75,00%
Lost	2		25,00%
Void	0		0,00%
Stake	32,5
Profit	17,425
Yield	53,62%
Av. Odd	1,89875