Mostrando entradas con la etiqueta angola. Mostrar todas las entradas
Mostrando entradas con la etiqueta angola. Mostrar todas las entradas

miércoles, 4 de julio de 2012

BETTING TIPS (XI): FIBA OLYMPIC QUALIFYING TOURNAMENT: DAY THREE


This is my first prematch pick of the third day of the tournament. 


I may not place any more prematch tips today but Stay Tuned to Twitter as I will deliver Live Picks in the remaining games. Remember that there´s much at stake for the teams and they will be looking for the best options in the QFs and SemiFinals...


Angola vs New Zealand. Over 148.5 (1.96) Pinnacle Stake 3
(Value Bet till 150)


Angola surprised everyone on Monday beating FYR Of Macedonia with an outstanding offensive performance in the first half, absolutely inspired beyond the arc. Mingas, Cipriano and Morais stunned the Balkan team. They moved the ball incredibly well, always finding open shots and outrebounding them.


The Tall Blacks are virtually out of the tournament so they should play more relaxed in offense and improve their numbers. Mika Vukona was almost fouled out in the first half yesterday and didn´t have any impact in the game. I think he will lead his team today and we´ll also see more game-time for Lou and Pledger in the frontcourt.


I expect quite a fast pace game with short possesions. Both teams should play without no pressure and the line is quite attractive. In addition, almost all the referees in this tournament are calling every contact so I expect many free throws to come as both sides commit many stupid fouls.  


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Angola 64-68 New Zealand -3 Units


Angola´s horrible offensive performance killed us. Shooting Percentages (17/41 41% & 4/25 16%) say all. Nothing to do with Monday´s game against FYR Of Macedonia. New Zealand took an early  and comfortable lead since the begininng and kept them till the end.



Picks 23    
Won 15   65,22%
Lost 8   34,78%
Void 0   0,00%
Stake 91,5    
Profit 40,88    
Yield 44,68%    
Av. Odd 1,928696    

lunes, 2 de julio de 2012

BETTING TIPS (IX) 2012 FIBA OLYMPIC QUALIFYING TOURNAMENT: DAY ONE, SIX PICKS




For the first day of the tournament I won´t write too much as you can find all the important info on these previous posts. If I find more interesting picks tomorrow I will write about them on twitter. So these are my tips:

Russia vs South Korea. Russia -25.5 (1.90) Unibet Stake 2.5
(Value Bet till -27)



Russia vs South Korea. Russia -13.5 HT (1.90) Unibet Stake 2.5
(Value Bet till -14.5)



First game of the tournament in Caracas. The strongest team against the weakest team. Russia should trash Korea. It´s the best game for David Blatt´s roster to begin and get used to the "Poliedro´s" conditions.


Greece vs Jordan. Greece -15.5 HT (1.90) Unibet Stake 2


(Value Bet till -16)

Again a lot of differences between these two teams. I have chosen the HT handicap because the greeks have played quite aggresively in the first two quarters of every preparatory games. The FT handicap is a bit dangerous to me, as Greece could start thinking in their game against Puerto Rico and relax a little bit.

Angola vs FYR Of Macedonia. FYR Of Macedonia -7,5 (1.94) Pinnacle Stake 1.5
(Value Bet till -8.5)
Angola vs FYR Of Macedonia. Under 148 points (1.94) Pinnacle Stake 1.5
(Value bet Under 147 points)

It should be the most difficult game of the day. Angola will fight and try to slow the tempo to stop Bo McCalebb´s production. FYROM should take advantage of their big men in the paint and if Angola is not inspired beyond the arc they will struggle in offense.


Venezuela vs Nigeria. Venezuela -10 (1.97) Pinnacle Stake 3
(Value Bet till -12)


Venezuela could feel the pressure in the first game but I think they are quite ready for this clash. They will give their best to get their first win and they should win comfortably if Vásquez imposes his rhythm and they control the boards.

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+0,3 Units after a disappointing day. 

Nobody expected Angola´s massive performance in the first half. Macedonia woke up too late and they couldn´t even win the game. Venezuela, on the other hand, didn´t play as they had been doing the last weeks. Neither Romero nor Torres were able to help Vásquez in the offensive field. Missing many open shots and not controlling the tempo...


Picks 16    
Won 11   68,75%
Lost 5   31,25%
Void 0   0,00%
Stake 50,5    
Profit 22,6    
Yield 44,75%    
Av. Odd 1,91875    

domingo, 1 de julio de 2012

2012 FIBA OLYMPIC QUALIFYING TOURNAMENT: GROUPS C & D


GROUP C



RUSSIA

Russian NT is the team to beat in the tournament.  Despite their usual offensive shortcomings, they are the most solid team and shouldn´t have any problem to qualify for the London 2012 Olympics. David Blatt keeps the block of players that got the bronze medal in Lithuanian Eurobasket 2011. Vorontsevich and Bykov are sidelined but C Sasha Kaun comes back to help the team in the paint.  

AK 47 Kirilenko and Sergey Monya are the best pair of Forwards in the tournament. In the frontcourt, the power and strength of Kaun, Mozgov and Khryapa will be a key factor in every game. In PG, Shved and Fridzon will lead the team and will have to play many minutes as Khostov and Ponkrashov, aren´t in the same level.  Let´s see if the newcomers Voronov, Karasev and Grigoryev can be helpful  from the bench.

DOMINICAN REPUBLIC

Dominican Republic wants to get a ticket to London. Together with Venezuela, they should be among the underdogs of the tournament. Coached by John Calipari, they have shown last week in Puerto Rico´s Centrobasket that they are absolutely ready for this challenge.

With a fast and attractive style of play, the Dominicans have a great starting five. The electric PG Manuel Fortuna together with SG Juan Coronado will help talented NBA SF Francisco García from downtown.  Al Horford, Atlanta Hawks PF, and Jack Michael Martínez are the big names in one of the most powerful frontcourts of the tournament with Josh Asselin and Eulis Báez coming from the bench. 

If the Caribbean team increases it´s deffensive attitude, be careful with them as they have a lot of weapons to get into the semifinals.

KOREA

After winning the bronze medal in last year´s Asiabasket 2011, Korea NT arrives in Caracas thinking about the future with the big absences of experienced and talented PG Yang Dong-Geun, SG Moon Tae-Jong (aka Jarod Stevenson), F Cho Sung Min and PF Kim Joo-Sung.

In addition to all these important sidelined players, Sang Beom Lee, Korean HC, will have the serious doubt of Sek-eun Oh (the young talented C), with physical problems.  The Korean team will try to play fast, with many long range shots and being aggressive in deffense to compensate their lack of physical power. SG Lee Seung-Jun will be the only offensive reference from downtown.


GROUP D




FYR OF MACEDONIA

No longer underdogs, FYROM will play its first Official Tournament out of Europe after their big achievement last year in Lithuania Eurobasket. Few months ago, Marjan Lazovski became new Head Coach replacing Marin Dokuzovski. That won´t bring any important changes as Lazovski has been working with FYROM´s NT since 2006.

Again, Bo McCalebb will be the lighthouse of the Balkan team. One of the best PG in FIBA Basketball will lead the offense helped by Vlado Ilievski and Stojanovski´s brothers beyond the arc. In the frontcourt, one more time, the versatility of PF Pero Antic together with the big centers Gecevski and Samardziski will be the heart of the team.

They have been quite irregular in the preparatory games as Bo McCalebb arrived late due to the Italian Serie A Final Series.  However, they´ll give their best to get into the semifinals and we know that impossible means nothing to them.


NEW ZEALAND

Hard times for the Tall Blacks as SG Kirk Penney and PF Thomas Abercrombie won´t be available for this tournament. HC Vucinic will be without two of his most important players so New Zealand will struggle a lot in offense. New Zealand will fight and try not to be trashed by their rivals but they are so far away of being dangerous at all.

Lindsay Tait will be the most important player in offensive terms while Vukona and Casey Frank will add their experience and physical strength. In the paint, bic Cs, Pledger and Lou should give something better for the team as they did in previous tournaments.

ANGOLA

After being defeated by Tunisia in the last Afrobasket 2011 final, Angola NT will need a miraculous performance to qualify for London 2012 Olympics. With the scorer Armando Costa in the PG, the Angolan offensive game will mainly pend on the couple of Forwards formed by Carlos Morais and Joaquim Gomes. In the frontcourt, the experienced Eduardo Mingas should help Paulo and promising big Cs Moreira and Joaquim.

Angola NT is a limited height team, prone to disciplinary problems. However, they have always been tough customers for any opponent. Dangerous in the offensive rebounding, beware if they are inspired beyond the arc.