miércoles, 15 de agosto de 2012

BETTING TIPS (XXXVII) EUROBASKET 2013 QUALIFIERS



Bosnia & Herzegovina - Latvia. Over 165 Points (1,88) Pinnacle. Stake 2


Bosnia and Latvia will clash this afternoon in Sarajevo. Both teams, together with Georgia will fight for the two first spots of Group D for Eurobasket 2013 Qualifiers. 

Bosnia and Herzegovina handed the national team reins to veteran tactician Aleksandar (Axa) Petrovic in February. The 52-year-old Croatian coach, the older brother of the late Drazen Petrovic, replaced Sabit Hadzic at the helm. 

Named 2010-11 Eurocup Coach of the Year with Cedevita Zagreb, Axa Petrovic will try to impose his run&gun offense style with Bosnia NT. He made a big revolution in his roster not naming such experienced players as Bajramovic, Varda, Jazvin, Ikonic, Nesovic, Milosevic, Vasiljevic or Domercant.

Zack Wright (188-G-85), Josip Naletilic (195-G-89), Nihad Djedovic (196-F-90), Nemanja Mitrovic (195-G), Ante Masic (200-F-85), Dalibor Persic (193-G-85), Mirza Teletovic (206-F-85), Edin Bavcic (210-F/C-84), Elmedin Kikanovic (211-C-88), Nedzad Sinanovic (221-C-83), Jozo Brkic (211-F/C-86) and Armin Avdibegovic (188-PG-84) are the men that will represent Bosnia this summer.

Undoubtedly, Mirza Teletovic is be the go-to player, helped by Djedovic and Wright. The american CG who gained bosnian citizenship this year (recently signed by BC Spartak Saint Petersbourg), will make his debut with Bosnia NT and play a lot of minutes as PG Nemanja Gordic is sidelined. Sinanovic and Kikanovic will lead the frontcourt.


Montenegro and Latvia will play today and tomorrow a couple of friendly matches in Zlatibor. These will be the first prep games for Montenegro this summer, looking for Eurobasket 2013 qualification, starting next month. 

Latvia, on the other hand, keeps on relying on the group of talented youngsters that started working with HC Bagatskis  two years ago. The Latvian side will try to play its attractive offensive style led by their new fresh talents as both Bertans´brothers, Richards Kuksis and Janis Strelnieks. They have a lot of sharp shooters beyond the arc.

IMO the line should be around 170 points. I think we´ll watch quite an attractive game with both teams running and moving the ball quite fast.

Montenegro - Israel. Over 155,5 Points (1,93) Pinnacle. Stake 2

Montenegro will host Israel NT this evening in Podgorica. Both teams will try to cause a major upset to Serbia in Group A of Eurobasket 2013 Qualifiers. 


The Balkan team has begun a new age after last year´s failure. They headed for EuroBasket 2011 with high expectations and departed Lithuania having failed to live up to them. HC Dejan Radonjic left the team in October and was replaced by Luka Pavicevic.

Pavicevic, well-known by his great work in Alba Berlin, has bet on a fresher style on offense, trying to move the ball much better than last year. This change has been tested during last weeks in their friendly games. Coach Pavicevic has taken advantage of his new CG “addition”. Taylor Rochestie (got Montenegrin citizenship this year) has speed up the tempo and has added better shooting pct beyond the arc. 

In contrast to those interesting backcourt additions, neither Pekovic nor Vucevic are available for the team in this early stage of preparation. So it´s time for promising Bojan Dubljevic to lead Montenegro´s frontcourt together with Dragicevic and Milko Bjelica. It will also be so interesting to watch talented youngster PG Nikola Ivanovic with the NT.



The big news regarding Israel´s NT roster is that Casspi, Eliyahu and Halperin joined the team two weeks ago and all of them will be available in these Eurobasket 2013 qualifiers. Coach Arik Shivek has been playing a faster basketball this summer relying on a wide backcourt with Alex Tyus, Guy Pnini or Yogev Oyahon. I expect quite a fast and offensive style today with all their best weapons available.

IMO the line is too short as both teams are playing different styles than two years ago. The line should be over 158-159 points.
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Bosnia 87-84 Latvia & Montenegro 75-69 Israel -0.24 Units

Horrible shooting from both teams in Podgorica and Montenegro made a stunning comeback to defeat Israel in the last quarter. In Sarajevo Bosnia struggled to win Latvia in a very interesting offensive game as we expected.

Picks 97    
Won 67   69,07%
Lost 28   28,87%
Void 2   2,06%
Stake 321    
Profit 142,535    
Yield 44,40%    
Av. Odd 1,922639    

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